BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 54 Overall: (4-4) Overall Strength = 77.62
Conference: North Iowa Record: (3-4) | District: 3A-01 Record: (1-1)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09-08-1978 Home W * 85.27 21 0 3A 73 ( 2- 7) Clear Lake 6.61 14.39
2 09-15-1978 Home W * 83.71 26 2 1A 47 ( 1- 7) Buffalo Center-Rake 5.05 18.95
3 09-22-1978 Away L * 75.78 6 13 2A 35 ( 6- 2) Britt -2.88 -4.12
4 09-29-1978 Away L * 71.09 6 27 2A 17 ( 6- 3) Belmond -7.57 -13.43
5 10-06-1978 Home L * * 79.07 6 21 3A 20 ( 9- 0) Osage 0.41 -15.41 homecoming
6 10-13-1978 Away L * 68.27 0 12 2A 42 ( 4- 4) Garner-Hayfield -10.39 -1.61 homecoming
7 10-20-1978 Home W * 77.42 23 22 3 2A 46 ( 4- 4) Lake Mills -1.24 2.24
8 10-27-1978 Away W * 88.67 20 12 2A 41 ( 2- 6) Northwood-Kensett 10.01 -2.01
9 11-03-1978 Home 77.62 0 0 ZZ 38 ( 0- 0) open 0.00 X 9.33
Averages 77.62 12.0 12.1
Best game: 88.67 = 8 point win over Northwood-Kensett
Worst game: 68.27 = 12 point loss to Garner-Hayfield
Team stdev: 6.57